Reckless Consumer Borrowing Keeps Recovery Illusion Afloat


ECONODAY: April was a strong month for retail sales but it wasn't an especially strong one for consumer credit which rose $13.4 billion vs the prior month's outsized gain of $28.4 billion (revised). Revolving credit, which jumped $10.4 billion in the month before, rose $1.6 billion, which like the headline, is on the soft side of trend. Nonrevolving credit rose $11.8 billion reflecting the month's strength in vehicle sales as well as once again increases in student borrowing. Instead of borrowing, consumers dipped into their savings to fund their April spending spree as the savings rate, in data included in last week's personal income & outlays report, fell a very sharp 5 tenths to 5.4 percent. Data on May spending got underway last week with unit vehicle sales which held steady at April's respectable rate and point to another gain for this report's non-revolving credit component. May's retail sales, which are on next week's calendar, may get more of a boost from revolving credit than from another drawdown in the savings rate...