Unemployment Set To Explode Higher


The headline number remains positive but the growth rate has turned decidedly negative...


Commercial Loan Growth Kills Stock Market Rally


FRED's Commercial and Industrial Loan data are pointing to a recession and a bear market...


Commercial Loan Growth - March 2019


Curvilinear Wave Analysis of economic data...

Household Net Worth Growth - Q4 2018


CNBC: Americans' net worth fell at the highest level since the financial crisis in the fourth quarter of 2018 as sliding stock market prices ate into the household balance sheet. Net worth dropped to $104.3 trillion as the year came to an end, a decrease of $3.73 trillion, according to figures released Thursday by the Federal Reserve. The fall amounted to a drop of 3.4 percent...

The Most Depressing Chart In The U.S. - January 2019


ECONODAY: The late-month end of the government shutdown, or at least temporary end, had only limited impact on the consumer sentiment index which ended January at 91.2, up 5 tenths from mid-month but down a very steep 7.1 points from December....

Retail Sales - December 2018


ECONODAY: Fourth-quarter GDP forecasts are being shaved after an unexpectedly weak verdict for December holiday sales. Retail sales fell 1.2 percent in December for the sharpest monthly decline of the expansion, since September 2009 and the last recession. The twist in the data is that vehicle sales, not really part of the holiday season, contributed strongly to December's results and excluding which sales fell 1.8 percent....

Personal Consumption Expenditures - December 2018


ECONODAY: Price data are subdued and at or very near expectations. Core PCE prices ticked 0.2 percent higher for a second straight month in December with the year-on-year rate also unchanged for a second straight month, at 1.9 percent. Overall PCE prices edged 0.1 percent higher on the month for a December year-on-year showing of only 1.7 percent, down 1 tenth from November....

Total Credit Market Debt Growth Ready To Crash Again


The financial metric that rules the world is called Total Credit Market Debt, or as it's now referred to, All Sectors; Debt Securities and Loans; Liability, Level...